Ben Horowitz calls AI cloud deals "Rube Goldberg financial machines" on All-In
Filling David Friedberg's seat, the a16z co-founder joins Chamath Palihapitiya's close reading of CoreWeave's borrowing bill.
Why this story? The video opened at a pace of 441,570 views a day, 35 times a normal first day on this channel (12,554).
CoreWeave Crash, AI Trade Cracks, Anthropic IPO Red Flags, Bill Gates Doomer
Things we can learn from the video
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- 0:00The hosts celebrate reaching the top podcast spot and introduce Ben Horowitz, filling in for David Friedberg.
- 8:31Palihapitiya's charts: CoreWeave must still borrow $26 billion to $41 billion, with new debt costing 15.6%.
- 13:42Horowitz compares the moment with Loudcloud and the dot-com era: then demand vanished, now it hasn't.
- 18:30Prediction-market bankruptcy odds; Palihapitiya argues the ring-fenced debt means CoreWeave itself can't go bankrupt.
- 40:23Sacks names payback period as the key metric, comparing SpaceX's spot capacity with CoreWeave's contracts.
- 45:45Anthropic's leaked $16.8 billion quarter and IPO size; Horowitz discloses a16z stakes in Anthropic and OpenAI.
A full All-In episode usually opens to a first day of around 12,000 views. This one went past 440,000 in roughly a day. It starts with a celebration: the hosts mark reaching the top podcast spot, and their stand-in guest plays along. "It's great to be with the number one team," says Ben Horowitz, sitting in for David Friedberg.
The main subject is less festive. CoreWeave, IREN and Nebius, the so-called neoclouds that rent out AI computing power, had a rough week, and CoreWeave's bonds led the slide. Chamath Palihapitiya came with charts. CoreWeave pays about 8.4% on its existing debt but 15.6% on new money, and it still has to borrow between $26 billion and $41 billion to deliver on its contracts. Three customers account for three-quarters of its revenue.
Horowitz brings memory to the argument. In 1999 he co-founded Loudcloud with Marc Andreessen, and he describes what sank cloud hosting back then: "The lack of demand killed it. We don't really have a lack of demand in AI." He still keeps his distance from today's financing, calling the deals "Rube Goldberg financial machines" and adding that his firm has not invested in any neocloud because "that whole thing scares me."
David Sacks reads the selloff as volatility rather than a bubble bursting, and names payback period as the number worth watching. Palihapitiya pushes back on prediction-market odds of a CoreWeave bankruptcy, arguing that its ring-fenced debt structure means the company itself "can't go bankrupt," and later puts the true bottleneck elsewhere: "I think power will be the moat."
The episode then turns to Anthropic's leaked investor-day figures and a possible IPO. Horowitz discloses that a16z holds stakes in both Anthropic and OpenAI.
Under the video, a good part of the comment section works as a glossary, with viewers spelling out neocloud, DPI and ARR for one another. A shorter cut of Palihapitiya's argument, "Chamath Explains the AI Boom's Achilles Heel," is also running well ahead of the channel's usual Shorts.
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What viewers say
Chamath turns into Sherlock Holmes when he is not invested
@rdg7250See it on YouTubeFinally well deserved top #1 spot, congratulations folks.
Chamath’s charts and explanation were excellent 👌@Secondinning2ndSee it on YouTubeBest episode that I have seen. Chamath's prep was for the coreweave discussion was exemplary. Nice insights into the planet these guys live on.
@johncox5502See it on YouTube
4 more comments
Loudcloud: the original 1999 cloud-hosting and IT automation pioneer co-founded by Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz.
@HubertHellerSee it on YouTubeneocloud: a specialized cloud computing provider built exclusively to deliver high-performance graphics processing unit (GPU) infrastructure for artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning workloads, rather than general-purpose central processing unit (CPU) services.
@HubertHellerSee it on YouTubeFantastic conversation. Gives a lot of clarity from an execution lens.
@disciple786See it on YouTubeThis is another great episode. Knockin’ em out of the park lately, besties
@CaliMitraSee it on YouTube
Public comments from the video's page on YouTube
- Channel
- All-In Podcast
- Subscribers
- 1,160,000 ▲ 10,000 this week
- Channel views, last 7 days
- 2,160,081
- Channel views, pace per day
- 215,199 (on a normal day: 307,891)
- Video published
- October 17, 2026
- Video views so far
- 487,287 (less than a day online)
- Video views, pace per day
- 462,417
The numbers
A full episode that opened far above the channel's usual first day, with a companion Short also running ahead of its usual pace.
💡 Test your knowledge
Before co-founding Loudcloud with Ben Horowitz, Marc Andreessen co-founded which company?
Andreessen co-founded Netscape in 1994, whose Navigator browser helped bring the web to a mass audience.



